90
      Friday
      89 / 70
      Saturday
      88 / 71
      Sunday
      89 / 70

      Experts predict active hurricane season

      Forecaster William Gray says he expects a very active hurricane season, but he's not yet giving likely numbers yet.

      NEW ORLEANS (WACH/AP) -- Forecaster William Gray says he expects a very active hurricane season, but he's not yet giving likely numbers of named storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes.

      Gray told hundreds of people at the National Hurricane Conference on Thursday that the first numeric predictions will come out April 10.

      Gray, head of Colorado State's Tropical Meteorology Project, says that only development of an El Nino could slow down the season, and that's looking less and less likely.

      He also says the U.S. has been very lucky -- the 16 years since 1995 have been an active period for hurricanes but most years were free of direct hits by storms with winds of 111 mph or more.

      He said, "This just defies statistics."

      Also at the conference the National Hurricane Center's Rick Knabb said the center will start providing three more days of notice about where tropical systems are likely to develop. The tropical weather outlook has covered two days; now there will be a five-day forecast.

      He says the center is working on storm surge watches and warnings, with plans to roll them out in 2015.

      Rick Knabb said the center will start providing three more days of notice about where tropical systems are likely to develop. The tropical weather outlook has covered two days; now there will be a five-day forecast.

      He says the center is working on storm surge watches and warnings, with plans to roll them out in 2015.

      The hurricane season runs from June through November.

      (The Associated Press contributed to this report.)